Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 506.442654 538.362770 571.519428 608.589731 648.948467 691.632178 740.287820
2025-12-28 462.273646 505.907300 553.036055 607.926610 670.356770 739.453836 822.129921
2026-01-04 431.954530 482.899735 539.536166 607.560770 687.565315 779.316639 893.434408
2026-01-11 410.774474 467.245965 531.527276 610.732578 706.556542 819.847526 965.598828
2026-01-18 391.865341 452.257094 522.384203 610.697334 720.180456 853.119114 1029.369046
2026-01-25 378.492049 442.577451 518.348965 615.694000 739.132196 892.809262 1102.464345
2026-02-01 367.275704 434.577348 515.467784 621.310103 758.364762 933.041289 1177.913220
2026-02-08 357.836954 428.053797 513.739005 627.788593 778.416060 974.727794 1257.248481
2026-02-15 346.906129 418.994692 508.155650 628.658485 790.667133 1006.150630 1323.857376
2026-02-22 336.776095 410.392763 502.585882 628.975858 801.769026 1036.079411 1389.668757
2026-03-01 328.630270 403.904624 499.314228 631.937718 816.249941 1070.995201 1464.453624
2026-03-08 319.467469 395.664927 493.295121 630.717789 824.576993 1097.262984 1527.626342
2026-03-15 311.544878 388.755537 488.738977 631.225831 835.237253 1127.294372 1598.417233
2026-03-22 303.833453 381.806357 483.788982 630.835241 844.374004 1155.273874 1667.538886
2026-03-29 296.656871 375.287194 479.112417 630.504350 853.375620 1183.234154 1738.176993
2026-04-05 291.232563 370.919212 477.157315 633.846988 867.766528 1219.896310 1825.321680
2026-04-12 284.976693 365.180118 473.047905 633.811601 876.922411 1248.686554 1901.012196
2026-04-19 280.840695 362.201272 472.639306 639.063523 894.208334 1291.012693 2002.808646
2026-04-26 277.138494 359.678329 472.733784 644.967116 912.629281 1335.973098 2112.475593
2026-05-03 273.910756 357.692259 473.475417 651.778317 932.653943 1384.486124 2232.210788
2026-05-10 269.038427 353.215271 470.448433 652.692975 943.213997 1417.616902 2325.868033
2026-05-17 264.227761 348.676195 467.161325 653.026686 952.744844 1449.349900 2419.170326
2026-05-24 260.448993 345.499506 465.742816 656.141151 966.862688 1489.619094 2532.175680